Bending the Third Rail
Because We Should, We Can, We Do
Thursday, October 26, 2006
Tinfoil or Not?
Billmon speculates on this:
London Yank at The Daily Kos has been following military developments in the Persian Gulf closely -- maybe too closely, but I can hardly argue that his obsession is unreasonable, given the circumstances.

He notes that yet another Marine strike group -- this one led by the USS Boxer (like the Iwo Jima, an amphibious assault ship) has arrived on the scene, bringing the number of task forces to four, including two carrier task forces. Even for the U.S. Navy, that's a heap o' firepower.

The supposed reason for gathering all this floating steel in one place is to conduct training exercises -- interdiction and blockade exercises with the tiny navies of the puppet oil sheikhdoms, and amphibious landing exercises off Goa with Indian special forces, and I'm not talking about Chief Crazy Horse's warriors here.

The interdiction exercises are scheduled to start Oct. 31. The amphibious assault exercises are already under way, according to the Indian press. (What that might signal about India's possible role in a possible war with Iran I haven't a clue.)

One thing is clear: These kind of "training" exercises could provide perfect cover for the final preparations and fleet movements needed to get ready for war. Or, they may be exactly what they're billed as -- exercises, perhaps designed to intimidate the Iranians, but not to attack them, at least not yet.

We'll know soon enough which explanation is correct.
Boy. It's just so hard to know. All the political analysts (except Eric Alterman and Mickey Kaus) are predicting a tidal wave blowing away the GOOPERs, unless of course there is some last minute major event.

I wouldn't put it past these guys. I think a more plausible possibility is that these provocative "exercises" take place and the Iranians do something stupid, like attack a ship. As I've speculated before, the Iranians may want a war as much as Bush does ... ironically, maybe they want it more at this point. The leadership of the Iranians doesn't give a rip about it's people and a war with America would be an incredible (further) galvanizing force in the Middle East for anti-westernism.

Needless to say, I'll be living on pins and needles for the next two weeks and so should you, for many many reasons.
2 Comments:
Anonymous Anonymous said...
Or a false flag op.

Blogger Greyhair said...
Good point. It would be easy to do and just as effective in starting a war.