Bending the Third Rail
Because We Should, We Can, We Do
Sunday, August 13, 2006
America's Spain
Turns out there have been lots and lots of provocations .... on both sides .... of the Israeli/Hezbollah conflict:
The Pentagon consultant noted that there had also been cross-border incidents involving Israel and Hezbollah, in both directions, for some time. “They’ve been sniping at each other,” he said. “Either side could have pointed to some incident and said ‘We have to go to war with these guys’—because they were already at war.”
So why a war now?

It turns out that the Israel attacks in Lebannon were the dry run for the U.S.'s preparation to attack Iran:
“The big question for our Air Force was how to hit a series of hard targets in Iran successfully,” the former senior intelligence official said. “Who is the closest ally of the U.S. Air Force in its planning? It’s not Congo—it’s Israel. Everybody knows that Iranian engineers have been advising Hezbollah on tunnels and underground gun emplacements. And so the Air Force went to the Israelis with some new tactics and said to them, ‘Let’s concentrate on the bombing and share what we have on Iran and what you have on Lebanon.’ ” The discussions reached the Joint Chiefs of Staff and Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, he said.

“The Israelis told us it would be a cheap war with many benefits,” a U.S. government consultant with close ties to Israel said. “Why oppose it? We’ll be able to hunt down and bomb missiles, tunnels, and bunkers from the air. It would be a demo for Iran.”
That's Sy Hersh in his new piece from the New Yorker.

What's a few thousand dead people when you can try out your bunker busting technology against your next foe? The Cheney administration just has to make sure it's toys work well in prep for the real war, which is the bombing of Iran.

Except for one problem.

Israel has lost in Lebannon.

Does that mean that the Cheney administration has learned anything useful?

Nope.

They don't learn from mistakes. They'll just assume the Israeli's didn't do "it" enough .... not like the Marines would. I'm still betting for an attack on Iran before the midterms, but wouldn' t be too surprised to see it sometime in early 2007. The economy will be slowing significantly by then and will need a "shot in the arm".
1 Comments:
Anonymous Anonymous said...
If Syria is next, you can bet your family farm that they're closing a cheap route to Israel - and Iran will have to go through Iraq.